Published in Articles

Chances of flopping a Set

2011-10-23 19:59 by Olsdog

Seeing as how a set, or three-of-a-kind, is such a valuable hand in online poker, many players ask what's their chances of flopping a set. And the quick answer to this question is that you have about an 11.8% chance of flopping a set.

That being said, it's not usually profitable to play small pocket pairs (22-66) on bigger tables because you're most likely going to need a set to win the hand. And this is where the concept of "set mining" comes into play.

Get 27% rakeback and a 100% up to $1,000 bonus at Americas Cardroom - US players welcome

Seeing as how your chances of flopping a set are a little under 12%, you need to have the right conditions to play your small pocket pair on bigger tables. In most cases, you won't be getting proper pot odds to make the call, so many set mining situations come down to implied odds.

Implied odds are different from pot odds because they consider total (and future) winnings from a hand, rather than just whether or not it's correct to make a call in the specific situation you're in. That said, you have to look at a couple of factors closely to determine whether or not you're getting the right implied odds to set mine.

Perhaps the biggest factor to look at is if you'll get paid off once you do hit a set; this relies heavily on your opponent(s). If everybody in the pot is a good, tight player, then it's more unlikely that you're going to get paid off once you hit a set. However, if you're up against a bunch of loose fish, there's a much better chance that you'll get paid off by players who over-bet with top pair and two pair when you've got a set.

Another thing to look at here is your reverse implied odds, or the chance that you hit your set, but somebody else has a better hand. In most cases, you can tell if somebody has a better hand because of the board texture - a.k.a. the board showing a flush or straight opportunity, coupled with your opponent betting like crazy.

However, there will also be the rare occurrences where your small pair turns into a set, but another player also flops a set. And while this may be hard to swallow, you have to chalk these instances up to bad variance, and keep set mining when you're playing against people who will pay you off.


More Articles

The World's Coolest Poker Stories: Stu Ungar 
Phil Hellmuth Charity Poker Tournament 811 days ago There are many famous stories from Stu Ungar's glory years, and some consider him to be the greatest poker tournament player that ever lived. But one story stands out above all others, and it involves a famous hand between Ungar and the 1990 World Series Main Event champion, Monsour Matloubi. Ungar challenged Matloubi to a $50k heads-up game bec... Read more
Online Poker or Live Poker: What is best to play? 
Phil Hellmuth Charity Poker Tournament 841 days ago Playing online poker is an enormous way to get proficiencies and skill with the game. Many people question moving their play to the internet as they concern that they will be unable to find somewhat as a result. Overall certainty, in effect each feature of [urln][/urln][titlen]Playing poker in an online casino is... Read more
The World's Coolest Poker Stories: Jordan Young 
Phil Hellmuth Charity Poker Tournament 1022 days ago In August of 2010, Jordan “Jymaster11” Young completed one of the most amazing feats in poker history. First, he won the Full Tilt Sunday Brawl along with $104,951, before following up this up with a victory in the Full Tilt Sunday $750,000 Guarantee for $132,787.50 - both on the same day! Between the two tournaments, Young beat out 6,0... Read more
Michael Mizrachi offers Interesting Poker Strategy 
Phil Hellmuth Charity Poker Tournament 1330 days ago Most common poker strategy advocates that new players start out in the lower stakes and work their way up. The idea is that you'll lose less money/have a better chance of winning by playing against worse competition. However, Michael Mizrachi has a totally different thought on the matter: "I wouldn't start low stakes, I would start at maybe... Read more
Phil Ivey Flirting and Living Wealthy Lifestyle 
Phil Hellmuth Charity Poker Tournament 1347 days ago Given that Phil Ivey has won millions in juicy cash games, over $21 million in live tournaments, and earned a fortune through his old Full Tilt Poker sponsorship deal, it doesn't take a genius to realize that he's rich. But just how deep does his wealth run? Well a Playboy Magazine feature offers a lot of insight into Ivey's high-roller lifestyl... Read more
Top 10 Poker Rooms  |  View all Poker Rooms
1 BetOnline Accepting US players $2000 Bonus Read review
2 Redbet $2500 Bonus Read review
3 Americas CR Accepting US players $1000 Bonus Read review
4 Titan Poker $2000 Bonus Read review
5 Bodog Poker Accepting US players $1000 Bonus Read review
6 ComeOn $600 Bonus Read review
7 24hPoker $500 Bonus Read review
8 888 Poker $400 Bonus Read review
9 Unibet $500 Bonus Read review
10 RedKings $400 Bonus Read review

admin Welcome to our newest member vikrampandya
2018-01-29 11:30
admin Welcome to our newest member navi1994
2017-12-11 12:37
admin Welcome to our newest member uniquepackers
2017-11-02 11:49
admin Welcome to our newest member JacqueP
2017-10-09 09:56
admin Welcome to our newest member Williamhawk
2017-09-29 16:16
Shoutbox history  |  Friends with Poker Hands Ranking  |  All Rights Reserved. © 2010-2018