Published in Articles

Chances of flopping a Set

2011-10-23 19:59 by Olsdog

Seeing as how a set, or three-of-a-kind, is such a valuable hand in online poker, many players ask what's their chances of flopping a set. And the quick answer to this question is that you have about an 11.8% chance of flopping a set.

That being said, it's not usually profitable to play small pocket pairs (22-66) on bigger tables because you're most likely going to need a set to win the hand. And this is where the concept of "set mining" comes into play.

Get 27% rakeback and a 100% up to $1,000 bonus at Americas Cardroom - US players welcome

Seeing as how your chances of flopping a set are a little under 12%, you need to have the right conditions to play your small pocket pair on bigger tables. In most cases, you won't be getting proper pot odds to make the call, so many set mining situations come down to implied odds.

Implied odds are different from pot odds because they consider total (and future) winnings from a hand, rather than just whether or not it's correct to make a call in the specific situation you're in. That said, you have to look at a couple of factors closely to determine whether or not you're getting the right implied odds to set mine.

Perhaps the biggest factor to look at is if you'll get paid off once you do hit a set; this relies heavily on your opponent(s). If everybody in the pot is a good, tight player, then it's more unlikely that you're going to get paid off once you hit a set. However, if you're up against a bunch of loose fish, there's a much better chance that you'll get paid off by players who over-bet with top pair and two pair when you've got a set.

Another thing to look at here is your reverse implied odds, or the chance that you hit your set, but somebody else has a better hand. In most cases, you can tell if somebody has a better hand because of the board texture - a.k.a. the board showing a flush or straight opportunity, coupled with your opponent betting like crazy.

However, there will also be the rare occurrences where your small pair turns into a set, but another player also flops a set. And while this may be hard to swallow, you have to chalk these instances up to bad variance, and keep set mining when you're playing against people who will pay you off.


More Articles

Michael Mizrachi offers Interesting Poker Strategy 
Phil Hellmuth Charity Poker Tournament 207 days ago Most common poker strategy advocates that new players start out in the lower stakes and work their way up. The idea is that you'll lose less money/have a better chance of winning by playing against worse competition. However, Michael Mizrachi has a totally different thought on the matter: "I wouldn't start low stakes, I would start at maybe... Read more
Phil Ivey Flirting and Living Wealthy Lifestyle 
Phil Hellmuth Charity Poker Tournament 224 days ago Given that Phil Ivey has won millions in juicy cash games, over $21 million in live tournaments, and earned a fortune through his old Full Tilt Poker sponsorship deal, it doesn't take a genius to realize that he's rich. But just how deep does his wealth run? Well a Playboy Magazine feature offers a lot of insight into Ivey's high-roller lifestyl... Read more
Top 3 Texas Hold'Em Tips for Online Beginners 
Phil Hellmuth Charity Poker Tournament 237 days ago Whether you play online or at a casino, poker is a game that can take many years to master. There are several substantial differences between the two game formats. And with its realistic landscape and facial features, [urln][/urln][titlen]PKR poker is one of the best versions of the online game that you are ever going to play.[/ti... Read more
Poker Winnings help Max Altergott travel the World 
Phil Hellmuth Charity Poker Tournament 266 days ago Many people who get into online poker dream of one day earning fame, fortune, and the financial freedom to do whatever they want. Germany's Max Altergott is one of the lucky players who've managed to spin their humble poker beginnings into a pretty sweet life. Through a segment with PokerStars, Altergott discusses how his early poker days were s... Read more
See the Sexy Tatjana Pasalic's Workout 
Phil Hellmuth Charity Poker Tournament 291 days ago As if Tatjana Pasalic doesn't already look good enough, she also works out pretty religiously to keep her slim and curvy figure. The poker TV presenter recently gave the poker world a small glimpse of what she does to stay in great shape. As you can see from the video below, Pasalic doesn't just do some wimpy 20-minute aerobics workout. Anoth... Read more
Top 10 Poker Rooms  |  View all Poker Rooms
1 PokerStars $600 Bonus Read review
2 Full Tilt Poker $600 Bonus Read review
3 Titan Poker $2000 Bonus Read review
4 Redbet $1000 Bonus Read review
5 BetOnline Accepting US players $900 Bonus Read review
6 Americas CR Accepting US players $1000 Bonus Read review
7 Bodog Poker Accepting US players $1000 Bonus Read review
8 24hPoker $500 Bonus Read review
9 888 Poker $400 Bonus Read review
10 myBet $600 Bonus Read review

admin Welcome to our newest member chad75198
2014-09-20 19:02
hotfix666 båstad rika jäevlen hanh spöar mig med skit men men tattar street leteare drö snart
2014-07-23 05:11
hotfix666 torsken i lmal ö är gamlersc kursk
2014-07-23 05:10
hotfix666 snackar gbler sickit så borde du höra street letarn söka food så truten fylls med inssekte
2014-07-23 05:06
hotfix666 dött så plingplong var ett år sen jag drog :P
2014-07-23 05:03
Shoutbox history  |  Friends with Poker Hands Ranking  |  All Rights Reserved. © 2010-2015